Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000479 0.000520 0.000563 0.000610 0.000661 0.000715 0.000777
2026-02-08 0.000413 0.000468 0.000529 0.000600 0.000680 0.000768 0.000871
2026-02-15 0.000366 0.000431 0.000504 0.000592 0.000696 0.000814 0.000958
2026-02-22 0.000330 0.000401 0.000483 0.000585 0.000709 0.000854 0.001038
2026-03-01 0.000301 0.000376 0.000465 0.000579 0.000721 0.000892 0.001113
2026-03-08 0.000275 0.000352 0.000446 0.000569 0.000725 0.000918 0.001174
2026-03-15 0.000254 0.000332 0.000430 0.000560 0.000730 0.000944 0.001235
2026-03-22 0.000232 0.000311 0.000410 0.000546 0.000726 0.000958 0.001278
2026-03-29 0.000216 0.000295 0.000396 0.000537 0.000729 0.000979 0.001332
2026-04-05 0.000204 0.000283 0.000387 0.000535 0.000738 0.001009 0.001397
2026-04-12 0.000194 0.000274 0.000381 0.000536 0.000752 0.001045 0.001472
2026-04-19 0.000184 0.000264 0.000373 0.000532 0.000759 0.001071 0.001534
2026-04-26 0.000171 0.000250 0.000359 0.000522 0.000758 0.001089 0.001589
2026-05-03 0.000160 0.000238 0.000348 0.000515 0.000761 0.001111 0.001650
2026-05-10 0.000150 0.000227 0.000338 0.000508 0.000765 0.001136 0.001715
2026-05-17 0.000141 0.000217 0.000329 0.000503 0.000769 0.001160 0.001781
2026-05-24 0.000133 0.000209 0.000320 0.000498 0.000773 0.001185 0.001848
2026-05-31 0.000125 0.000199 0.000310 0.000489 0.000771 0.001198 0.001899
2026-06-07 0.000118 0.000190 0.000300 0.000481 0.000770 0.001216 0.001955
2026-06-14 0.000110 0.000180 0.000289 0.000469 0.000762 0.001218 0.001988
2026-06-21 0.000104 0.000172 0.000280 0.000462 0.000760 0.001233 0.002041
2026-06-28 0.000099 0.000167 0.000275 0.000459 0.000767 0.001260 0.002113
2026-07-05 0.000095 0.000163 0.000272 0.000460 0.000778 0.001295 0.002202